Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Union Santa Fe to win @ 3.80 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win43% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 6.92
Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
Estudiantes L.P. host Union Santa Fe in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 11 April, with kick-off at 21:15 (WAT) at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi. Estudiantes L.P. are 11th with 47 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Union Santa Fe sit 16th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Estudiantes L.P.'s last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Independiente Medellin 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Union Santa Fe's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Agropecuario 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Union Santa Fe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Estudiantes L.P. and 0.9 for Union Santa Fe. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estudiantes L.P. 43%, draw 26%, Union Santa Fe 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Union Santa Fe to win at 3.80 – 31% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Union Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes L.P.43%fair 2.30 · @2.28
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.70
Union Santa Fe31%fair 3.22 · @3.80
2.09Expected goals
1.16Estudiantes L.P. xG
0.92Union Santa Fe xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.2 – 0.9 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win
43%
2.30
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
6.92
–
Form
Estudiantes L.P. – last 6
DLWWLL
9 Apr
@ Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ San Lorenzo
0–1
L
23 Mar
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
5–0
W
18 Mar
@ Gimnasia M.
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Lanus
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Velez Sarsfield
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Union Santa Fe – last 6
WDDWWW
31 Mar
vs Agropecuario
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs Boca Juniors
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Independiente
4–4
D
1 Mar
@ Instituto Cordoba
2–1
W
26 Feb
@ Sarmiento Junin
3–1
W
23 Feb
vs Aldosivi
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and Union Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Union Santa Fe 31%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Belgrano Cordoba1
Aldosivi0
Independ. Rivadavia
Argentinos JRS