Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Independ. Rivadavia to win @ 3.35 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigre to win ✗37% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.76
Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Tigre take on Independ. Rivadavia on Thursday 2 April, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna. Tigre are 20th with 39 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Independ. Rivadavia sit 4th on 57 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tigre's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Banfield 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Independ. Rivadavia's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Rosario Central 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Independ. Rivadavia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Tigre and 1.2 for Independ. Rivadavia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Independ. Rivadavia to win at 3.35 – 37% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Tigre 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigre37%fair 2.69 · @2.32
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.92
Independ. Rivadavia37%fair 2.71 · @3.35
2.32Expected goals
1.17Tigre xG
1.16Independ. Rivadavia xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Tigre 1.2 – 1.2 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigre to win✗
37%
2.69
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigre / FT Tigre✗
20%
4.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.76
–
Form
Tigre – last 6
LDDDLD
21 Mar
@ Banfield
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs Argentinos JRS
1–1
D
10 Mar
vs Velez Sarsfield
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Gimnasia L.P.
2–2
D
25 Feb
@ Barracas Central
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Independ. Rivadavia – last 6
WWLDDL
23 Mar
vs Rosario Central
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Gimnasia L.P.
3–2
W
12 Mar
vs Barracas Central
1–2
L
3 Mar
vs River Plate
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Racing Club
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Belgrano Cordoba
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigre and Independ. Rivadavia.
What is the prediction for Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia?
On our numbers Tigre have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Independ. Rivadavia 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our predicted score is Tigre 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lanus0
Platense0