River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
River Plate to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiver Plate to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.72
River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin preview and prediction
The match
River Plate host Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 23:45 (WAT) at Estadio Mâs Monumental. River Plate are 7th with 55 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Sarmiento Junin sit 19th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
River Plate's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Huracan 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sarmiento Junin's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Racing Club 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
River Plate arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for River Plate and 0.5 for Sarmiento Junin. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: River Plate 62%, draw 22%, Sarmiento Junin 15%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was River Plate to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: River Plate 1–0 Sarmiento Junin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
River Plate62%fair 1.60 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.80
Sarmiento Junin15%fair 6.46 · @7.00
1.89Expected goals
1.40River Plate xG
0.49Sarmiento Junin xG
44%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–015%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: River Plate 1.4 – 0.5 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win✓
62%
1.60
1.44
Double chance
River Plate or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate / FT River Plate✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.72
–
Form
River Plate – last 6
WDWLWL
13 Mar
@ Huracan
2–1
W
3 Mar
@ Independ. Rivadavia
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Banfield
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs Ciudad de Bolívar
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Argentinos JRS
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sarmiento Junin – last 5
DWLLL
11 Mar
vs Racing Club
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Union Santa Fe
1–3
L
20 Feb
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Huracan
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between River Plate and Sarmiento Junin.
What is the prediction for River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our pick is River Plate to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin?
On our numbers River Plate have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sarmiento Junin 15%.
How many goals will there be in River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our predicted score is River Plate 1–0 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin?
River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 23:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mâs Monumental.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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