Gimnasia L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia preview and prediction
The match
Gimnasia L.P. host Independ. Rivadavia in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo. Gimnasia L.P. are 5th with 57 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Independ. Rivadavia sit 4th on 57 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gimnasia L.P.'s last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Banfield 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Independ. Rivadavia's last 4: LDDL Most recently they lost to Barracas Central 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Gimnasia L.P. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Gimnasia L.P. and 1.3 for Independ. Rivadavia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.83, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gimnasia L.P. 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia L.P.36%fair 2.74 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.90
Independ. Rivadavia38%fair 2.65 · @2.75
2.50Expected goals
1.24Gimnasia L.P. xG
1.26Independ. Rivadavia xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Gimnasia L.P. 1.2 – 1.3 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independ. Rivadavia to win✓
38%
2.65
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independ. Rivadavia / FT Independ. Rivadavia✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.65
–
Form
Gimnasia L.P. – last 5
WDLWD
11 Mar
@ Banfield
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ Tigre
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs Rosario Central
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Gimnasia M.
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Independ. Rivadavia – last 4
LDDL
12 Mar
vs Barracas Central
1–2
L
3 Mar
vs River Plate
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Racing Club
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Belgrano Cordoba
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia L.P. and Independ. Rivadavia.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Gimnasia L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
On our numbers Gimnasia L.P. have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Independ. Rivadavia 38%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia L.P. 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Gimnasia L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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