Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.65
Platense vs Velez Sarsfield preview and prediction
The match
Platense host Velez Sarsfield in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 14 March, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT). Platense are 24th with 36 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Velez Sarsfield sit 6th on 56 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Platense's last 4: DDDD Most recently they drew with Newells Old Boys 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Velez Sarsfield's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Tigre 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Velez Sarsfield arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 0.7 for Platense and 0.7 for Velez Sarsfield. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 84% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Platense 0–0 Velez Sarsfield. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Platense37%fair 2.72 · @2.70
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.60
Velez Sarsfield35%fair 2.87 · @3.00
1.39Expected goals
0.71Platense xG
0.68Velez Sarsfield xG
45%Both score
16%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–025%
1–018%
0–117%
1–112%
2–06%
0–26%
From our goals model: Platense 0.7 – 0.7 Velez Sarsfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Platense to win
37%
2.72
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.40
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
95%
1.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
59%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.65
–
Form
Platense – last 4
DDDD
11 Mar
@ Newells Old Boys
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Defensa Y Justicia
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Boca Juniors
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Velez Sarsfield – last 5
DWDWD
10 Mar
@ Tigre
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs River Plate
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Platense and Velez Sarsfield.
What is the prediction for Platense vs Velez Sarsfield?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Platense vs Velez Sarsfield?
On our numbers Platense have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Velez Sarsfield 35%.
How many goals will there be in Platense vs Velez Sarsfield?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 16% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Platense vs Velez Sarsfield?
Our predicted score is Platense 0–0 Velez Sarsfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Platense vs Velez Sarsfield?
Platense vs Velez Sarsfield (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
