Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✗51% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.23
Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus preview and prediction
The match
Lanus travel to Estadio Ciudad de La Plata in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 14 March (00:00 WAT) to face Estudiantes L.P.. Estudiantes L.P. are 11th with 47 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Lanus sit 9th on 50 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Estudiantes L.P.'s last 4: LWWD Most recently they lost to Velez Sarsfield 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lanus's last 4: LDLW Most recently they lost to Boca Juniors 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Estudiantes L.P. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.3 for Estudiantes L.P. and 0.8 for Lanus. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Lanus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes L.P.51%fair 1.97 · @1.98
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Lanus26%fair 3.87 · @4.20
2.08Expected goals
1.29Estudiantes L.P. xG
0.79Lanus xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.3 – 0.8 Lanus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✗
51%
1.97
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.23
–
Form
Estudiantes L.P. – last 4
LWWD
2 Mar
vs Velez Sarsfield
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ Newells Old Boys
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Sarmiento Junin
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Gimnasia L.P.
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lanus – last 4
LDLW
5 Mar
vs Boca Juniors
0–3
L
2 Mar
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Flamengo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and Lanus.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lanus 26%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Lanus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
