Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Rosario Central or draw
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Rosario Central to win @ 2.26 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultRosario Central to win52% · @2.26
Double chanceRosario Central or draw77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.46
Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Newells Old Boys take on Rosario Central on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa. Newells Old Boys are 22nd with 38 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Rosario Central sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Newells Old Boys's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Estudiantes L.P. 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Rosario Central's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Gimnasia L.P. 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Rosario Central arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.8 for Newells Old Boys and 1.4 for Rosario Central. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 36%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newells Old Boys 23%, draw 25%, Rosario Central 52%.
Safer route: Rosario Central or draw (77%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Rosario Central to win at 2.26 – 52% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rosario Central or draw – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Newells Old Boys 0–1 Rosario Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newells Old Boys23%fair 4.42 · @3.70
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.80
Rosario Central52%fair 1.91 · @2.26
2.20Expected goals
0.80Newells Old Boys xG
1.40Rosario Central xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–112%
0–011%
0–211%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 0.8 – 1.4 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosario Central to win
52%
1.91
2.26 ▲
Double chance
Rosario Central or draw
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.21
1.13
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
15%
6.46
–
Form
Newells Old Boys – last 3
LLD
25 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Banfield
0–3
L
16 Feb
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rosario Central – last 3
WLW
25 Feb
@ Gimnasia L.P.
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Talleres Cordoba
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Barracas Central
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newells Old Boys and Rosario Central.
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central?
Our pick is Rosario Central or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central?
On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rosario Central 52%.
How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central?
Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 0–1 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central?
Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Argentinos JRS1
Barracas Central1