Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Union Santa Fe to win @ 3.50 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultInstituto Cordoba to win ✗38% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.59
Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
Union Santa Fe travel to Mario Alberto Kempes in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 1 March (23:15 WAT) to face Instituto Cordoba. Instituto Cordoba are 8th with 55 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Union Santa Fe sit 16th on 42 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Instituto Cordoba's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with San Lorenzo 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Union Santa Fe's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Sarmiento Junin 3–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Instituto Cordoba and 1.0 for Union Santa Fe. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Instituto Cordoba 38%, draw 26%, Union Santa Fe 36%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Union Santa Fe to win at 3.50 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Instituto Cordoba 1–1 Union Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Instituto Cordoba38%fair 2.66 · @2.28
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.90
Union Santa Fe36%fair 2.74 · @3.50
2.07Expected goals
1.05Instituto Cordoba xG
1.03Union Santa Fe xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Instituto Cordoba 1.0 – 1.0 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Instituto Cordoba to win✗
38%
2.66
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.59
–
Form
Instituto Cordoba – last 3
DWW
24 Feb
@ San Lorenzo
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Atletico Tucuman
2–1
W
16 Feb
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Union Santa Fe – last 3
WWD
26 Feb
@ Sarmiento Junin
3–1
W
23 Feb
vs Aldosivi
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs San Lorenzo
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Instituto Cordoba and Union Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe?
On our numbers Instituto Cordoba have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Union Santa Fe 36%.
How many goals will there be in Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Instituto Cordoba 1–1 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe?
Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Mario Alberto Kempes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rosario Central0
Argentinos JRS1
Barracas Central1