Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 51% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Lorenzo to win ✗38% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗69% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 15.55
San Lorenzo vs Instituto Cordoba preview and prediction
The match
San Lorenzo host Instituto Cordoba in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Tuesday 24 February, with kick-off at 23:15 (WAT) at Pedro Bidegain. San Lorenzo are 18th with 41 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Instituto Cordoba sit 8th on 55 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for San Lorenzo and 1.1 for Instituto Cordoba. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Lorenzo 38%, draw 31%, Instituto Cordoba 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.40.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.40 – 51% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: San Lorenzo 0–1 Instituto Cordoba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Lorenzo38%fair 2.60 · @2.28
Draw31%fair 3.26 · @2.74
Instituto Cordoba31%fair 3.24 · @3.80
2.02Expected goals
0.95San Lorenzo xG
1.07Instituto Cordoba xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: San Lorenzo 1.0 – 1.1 Instituto Cordoba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Lorenzo to win✗
38%
2.60
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✗
69%
1.44
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.40 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.10
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
15.55
–
Form
San Lorenzo – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Union Santa Fe
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Instituto Cordoba – last 2
WW
21 Feb
vs Atletico Tucuman
2–1
W
16 Feb
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Lorenzo and Instituto Cordoba.
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo vs Instituto Cordoba?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win San Lorenzo vs Instituto Cordoba?
On our numbers San Lorenzo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Instituto Cordoba 31%.
How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo vs Instituto Cordoba?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo vs Instituto Cordoba?
Our predicted score is San Lorenzo 0–1 Instituto Cordoba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Lorenzo vs Instituto Cordoba?
San Lorenzo vs Instituto Cordoba (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Pedro Bidegain.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
