Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Defensa Y Justicia to win @ 3.90 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlatense to win ✗43% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.61
Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Platense take on Defensa Y Justicia on Tuesday 24 February, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez. Platense are 24th with 36 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Defensa Y Justicia sit 14th on 47 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Platense and 0.9 for Defensa Y Justicia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Platense 43%, draw 27%, Defensa Y Justicia 30%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Defensa Y Justicia to win at 3.90 – 30% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Platense 1–0 Defensa Y Justicia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Platense43%fair 2.35 · @2.14
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.92
Defensa Y Justicia30%fair 3.31 · @3.90
1.98Expected goals
1.10Platense xG
0.88Defensa Y Justicia xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Platense 1.1 – 0.9 Defensa Y Justicia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Platense to win✗
43%
2.35
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Platense / FT Platense✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.61
–
Form
Platense – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Boca Juniors
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Defensa Y Justicia – last 2
DD
20 Feb
vs Belgrano Cordoba
1–1
D
14 Feb
vs Velez Sarsfield
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Platense and Defensa Y Justicia.
What is the prediction for Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia?
On our numbers Platense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Defensa Y Justicia 30%.
How many goals will there be in Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Our predicted score is Platense 1–0 Defensa Y Justicia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
