Value bet: Estudiantes L.P. to win @ 2.38 – our chance 50% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✓50% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.94
Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes L.P. preview and prediction
The match
Estudiantes L.P. travel to Estadio Marcelo Bielsa in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Wednesday 25 February (23:30 WAT) to face Newells Old Boys. Newells Old Boys are 22nd with 38 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Estudiantes L.P. sit 11th on 47 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.8 for Newells Old Boys and 1.2 for Estudiantes L.P.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newells Old Boys 25%, draw 25%, Estudiantes L.P. 50%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Estudiantes L.P. to win at 2.38 – 50% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Newells Old Boys 0–1 Estudiantes L.P.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newells Old Boys25%fair 3.93 · @3.35
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.82
Estudiantes L.P.50%fair 2.02 · @2.38
1.98Expected goals
0.76Newells Old Boys xG
1.22Estudiantes L.P. xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–014%
1–113%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 0.8 – 1.2 Estudiantes L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✓
50%
2.02
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.94
–
Form
Newells Old Boys – last 2
LD
21 Feb
@ Banfield
0–3
L
16 Feb
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estudiantes L.P. – last 2
WD
20 Feb
vs Sarmiento Junin
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Gimnasia L.P.
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newells Old Boys and Estudiantes L.P..
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes L.P.?
On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Estudiantes L.P. 50%.
How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes L.P.?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 0–1 Estudiantes L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Atletico Tucuman1
Barracas Central2
Tigre1
Gimnasia L.P.1
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