Gimnasia M. vs Independiente prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente to win ✗50% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.41
Gimnasia M. vs Independiente preview and prediction
The match
Independiente travel to Víctor Legrotaglie in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Wednesday 25 February (02:00 WAT) to face Gimnasia M.. Gimnasia M. are 17th with 41 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Independiente sit 13th on 47 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.8 for Gimnasia M. and 1.3 for Independiente. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimnasia M. 26%, draw 24%, Independiente 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Gimnasia M. 0–1 Independiente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia M.26%fair 3.85 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.88
Independiente50%fair 2.00 · @2.25
2.05Expected goals
0.79Gimnasia M. xG
1.26Independiente xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–013%
1–113%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gimnasia M. 0.8 – 1.3 Independiente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente to win✗
50%
2.00
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente / FT Independiente✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.41
–
Form
Gimnasia M. – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs Gimnasia L.P.
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Independiente
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia M. and Independiente.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia M. vs Independiente?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Independiente?
On our numbers Gimnasia M. have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente 50%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia M. vs Independiente?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia M. vs Independiente?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia M. 0–1 Independiente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia M. vs Independiente?
Gimnasia M. vs Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Víctor Legrotaglie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Belgrano Cordoba3
Atletico Tucuman1
Barracas Central2
Tigre1
Gimnasia L.P.1
Rosario Central2