Value bet: San Lorenzo to win @ 3.95 – our chance 31% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Santa Fe to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.42
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.33
Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo preview and prediction
The match
San Lorenzo travel to Estadio 15 de Abril in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 14 February (02:15 WAT) to face Union Santa Fe. Union Santa Fe are 16th with 42 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while San Lorenzo sit 18th on 41 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Union Santa Fe and 0.8 for San Lorenzo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Santa Fe 42%, draw 27%, San Lorenzo 31%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.42.
Value angle: San Lorenzo to win at 3.95 – 31% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Union Santa Fe 1–0 San Lorenzo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Santa Fe42%fair 2.37 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @2.62
San Lorenzo31%fair 3.19 · @3.95
1.89Expected goals
1.05Union Santa Fe xG
0.84San Lorenzo xG
46%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Union Santa Fe 1.0 – 0.8 San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Santa Fe to win✗
42%
2.37
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.42
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.83
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.33
–
Form
Union Santa Fe
No recent results on record.
San Lorenzo
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Santa Fe and San Lorenzo.
What is the prediction for Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Union Santa Fe have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Lorenzo 31%.
How many goals will there be in Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Union Santa Fe 1–0 San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo?
Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 15 de Abril.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Banfield
Racing Club
Huracan1
Sarmiento Junin0