Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Vaduz to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceFC Vaduz or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.07
Étoile Carouge vs FC Vaduz preview and prediction
The match
FC Vaduz travel to Stade de la Fontenette in the Challenge League on Friday 8 May (19:15 WAT) to face Étoile Carouge.
Form guide
Étoile Carouge's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Yverdon Sport 5–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
FC Vaduz's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Eschen Mauren 4–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
FC Vaduz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.1 for Étoile Carouge and 1.9 for FC Vaduz. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Étoile Carouge 21%, draw 21%, FC Vaduz 58%.
Safer route: FC Vaduz or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Vaduz or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Étoile Carouge 1–1 FC Vaduz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Étoile Carouge21%fair 4.83 · @3.80
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
FC Vaduz58%fair 1.73 · @1.75
2.97Expected goals
1.05Étoile Carouge xG
1.92FC Vaduz xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Étoile Carouge 1.1 – 1.9 FC Vaduz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Vaduz to win✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Double chance
FC Vaduz or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
FC Vaduz ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Vaduz / FT FC Vaduz✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.07
–
Form
Étoile Carouge – last 6
WLWDWD
3 May
@ Yverdon Sport
5–3
W
24 Apr
@ Rapperswil
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs FC WIL 1900
2–0
W
10 Apr
vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ FC Aarau
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Stade Nyonnais
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Vaduz – last 6
WWWWLW
5 May
vs Eschen Mauren
4–3
W
24 Apr
@ Stade Nyonnais
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Rapperswil
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Balzers
4–2
W
10 Apr
@ Yverdon Sport
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs Bellinzona
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Étoile Carouge and FC Vaduz.
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge vs FC Vaduz?
Our pick is FC Vaduz or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Étoile Carouge vs FC Vaduz?
On our numbers Étoile Carouge have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Vaduz 58%.
How many goals will there be in Étoile Carouge vs FC Vaduz?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Étoile Carouge vs FC Vaduz?
Our predicted score is Étoile Carouge 1–1 FC Vaduz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Étoile Carouge vs FC Vaduz?
Étoile Carouge vs FC Vaduz (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Fontenette.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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