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Challenge League · Switzerland
5–1
FT

FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais prediction & analysis

69%
Footrivo pick

FC Aarau to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Aarau to win ✓69% · @1.35
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✓90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.63

FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais preview and prediction

The match

Stade Nyonnais travel to face FC Aarau in the Challenge League on Friday 8 May (19:15 WAT). FC Aarau are 6th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Stade Nyonnais sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom three).

Form guide

FC Aarau's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Neuchatel Xamax FC 3–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Stade Nyonnais's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to FC WIL 1900 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

FC Aarau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Stade Nyonnais 1–1 FC Aarau.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for FC Aarau and 0.7 for Stade Nyonnais. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was FC Aarau to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: FC Aarau 2–0 Stade Nyonnais. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FC Aarau69%fair 1.44 · @1.35
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.75
Stade Nyonnais10%fair 10.38 · @6.50
2.89Expected goals
2.17FC Aarau xG
0.72Stade Nyonnais xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–013%
1–012%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: FC Aarau 2.2 – 0.7 Stade Nyonnais expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Aarau to win ✓69%1.441.35
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✓90%1.111.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.81–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Half-time resultFC Aarau ahead at half-time ✓51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Aarau / FT FC Aarau ✓47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13%7.63–

Form

FC Aarau – last 6

WWLWWW
1 May@ Neuchatel Xamax FC3–1W
22 Aprvs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy3–0W
7 Aprvs Étoile Carouge1–3L
13 Marvs FC Vaduz2–0W
6 Mar@ Étoile Carouge3–0W
27 Febvs Rapperswil5–3W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Stade Nyonnais – last 6

LLLLDW
1 Mayvs FC WIL 19000–1L
24 Aprvs FC Vaduz1–3L
10 Apr@ Neuchatel Xamax FC1–4L
6 Aprvs Yverdon Sport1–4L
3 Apr@ Étoile Carouge0–0D
20 Marvs Rapperswil2–1W
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Stade Nyonnais v FC Aarau1–1
FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

Our pick is FC Aarau to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

On our numbers FC Aarau have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stade Nyonnais 10%.

How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

Our predicted score is FC Aarau 2–0 Stade Nyonnais, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.