Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Aarau to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62
FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz preview and prediction
The match
FC Aarau host FC Vaduz in the Challenge League on Friday 13 March, with kick-off at 20:15 (WAT).
Form guide
FC Aarau's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat Étoile Carouge 3–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
FC Vaduz's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with Rapperswil 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Vaduz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for FC Aarau and 1.5 for FC Vaduz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 67%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Aarau 41%, draw 22%, FC Vaduz 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FC Aarau 1–1 FC Vaduz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Aarau41%fair 2.46 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.55
FC Vaduz37%fair 2.70 · @2.62
3.12Expected goals
1.60FC Aarau xG
1.52FC Vaduz xG
67%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: FC Aarau 1.6 – 1.5 FC Vaduz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Aarau to win✓
41%
2.46
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Aarau / FT FC Aarau✓
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.62
–
Form
FC Aarau – last 4
WWDL
6 Mar
@ Étoile Carouge
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs Rapperswil
5–3
W
20 Feb
@ Stade Nyonnais
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2–4
L
2.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
FC Vaduz – last 4
DWWW
6 Mar
@ Rapperswil
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Stade Nyonnais
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Neuchatel Xamax FC
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Bellinzona
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Aarau and FC Vaduz.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz?
On our numbers FC Aarau have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Vaduz 37%.
How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz?
Our predicted score is FC Aarau 1–1 FC Vaduz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz?
FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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