Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: FC Aarau to win @ 2.85 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Aarau to win ✗39% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau preview and prediction
The match
FC Aarau travel to Stade Olympique de la Pontaise in the Challenge League on Friday 13 February (20:15 WAT) to face Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are 1st with 31 points from 13 games (top of the table), while FC Aarau sit 6th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and 1.6 for FC Aarau. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 38%, draw 23%, FC Aarau 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.42.
Value angle: FC Aarau to win at 2.85 – 39% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1–1 FC Aarau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy38%fair 2.61 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
FC Aarau39%fair 2.56 · @2.85
3.12Expected goals
1.55Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
1.57FC Aarau xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.6 – 1.6 FC Aarau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Aarau to win✗
39%
2.56
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Aarau / FT FC Aarau✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.86
–
Form
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
No recent results on record.
FC Aarau
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and FC Aarau.
What is the prediction for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau?
On our numbers Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Aarau 39%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau?
Our predicted score is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1–1 FC Aarau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau?
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Aarau (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique de la Pontaise.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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