Étoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax FC preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge League sees Étoile Carouge take on Neuchatel Xamax FC on Friday 13 February, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT) at Stade de la Fontenette. Étoile Carouge are 7th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Neuchatel Xamax FC sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Étoile Carouge and 1.4 for Neuchatel Xamax FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Étoile Carouge 1–1 Neuchatel Xamax FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Étoile Carouge38%fair 2.60 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.25
Neuchatel Xamax FC38%fair 2.65 · @2.45
2.80Expected goals
1.41Étoile Carouge xG
1.39Neuchatel Xamax FC xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–18%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Étoile Carouge 1.4 – 1.4 Neuchatel Xamax FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Étoile Carouge to win✗
38%
2.60
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Étoile Carouge / FT Étoile Carouge✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.70
–
Form
Étoile Carouge
No recent results on record.
Neuchatel Xamax FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Étoile Carouge and Neuchatel Xamax FC.
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Étoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
On our numbers Étoile Carouge have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Neuchatel Xamax FC 38%.
How many goals will there be in Étoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Étoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
Our predicted score is Étoile Carouge 1–1 Neuchatel Xamax FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Étoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
Étoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax FC (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Fontenette.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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