Value bet: Lamphun Warrior to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLamphun Warrior to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.70
Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya FC preview and prediction
The match
Ayutthaya FC travel to 700th Anniversary Stadium in the Thai League 1 on Sunday 5 April (12:30 WAT) to face Lamphun Warrior. Lamphun Warrior are 9th with 11 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Ayutthaya FC sit 3rd on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Lamphun Warrior's last 4: LDDD Most recently they lost to Port FC 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ayutthaya FC's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ayutthaya FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Lamphun Warrior and 1.0 for Ayutthaya FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lamphun Warrior 57%, draw 20%, Ayutthaya FC 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Lamphun Warrior to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Lamphun Warrior 1–1 Ayutthaya FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lamphun Warrior57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.35
Ayutthaya FC22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
2.73Expected goals
1.76Lamphun Warrior xG
0.97Ayutthaya FC xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Lamphun Warrior 1.8 – 1.0 Ayutthaya FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lamphun Warrior to win✓
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lamphun Warrior / FT Lamphun Warrior✓
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.70
–
Form
Lamphun Warrior – last 4
LDDD
6 Mar
@ Port FC
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs Bangkok United
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Bangkok United
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Muangthong United
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ayutthaya FC – last 6
LWLWWL
21 Mar
vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Ratchaburi
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Kanchanaburi
0–2
L
28 Feb
@ Chonburi FC
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Ratchaburi
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs BG Pathum United
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lamphun Warrior and Ayutthaya FC.
What is the prediction for Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya FC?
On our numbers Lamphun Warrior have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ayutthaya FC 22%.
How many goals will there be in Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya FC?
Our predicted score is Lamphun Warrior 1–1 Ayutthaya FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya FC?
Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at 700th Anniversary Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Muangthong United2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0