Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Chonburi FC to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChonburi FC to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceChonburi FC or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.19
Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC preview and prediction
The match
Chonburi FC host Rayong FC in the Thai League 1 on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium. Chonburi FC are 13th with 7 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Rayong FC sit 12th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chonburi FC's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Sukhothai FC 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rayong FC's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Sukhothai FC 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Chonburi FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Chonburi FC and 0.8 for Rayong FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chonburi FC 62%, draw 23%, Rayong FC 15%.
Safer route: Chonburi FC or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Chonburi FC to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chonburi FC or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chonburi FC 1–0 Rayong FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chonburi FC62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Rayong FC15%fair 6.61 · @3.60
2.75Expected goals
1.91Chonburi FC xG
0.84Rayong FC xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Chonburi FC 1.9 – 0.8 Rayong FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chonburi FC to win✓
62%
1.61
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Chonburi FC or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Half-time result
Chonburi FC ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chonburi FC / FT Chonburi FC✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.19
–
Form
Chonburi FC – last 6
WWLWLW
21 Mar
vs Sukhothai FC
2–0
W
18 Mar
vs Thap Luang United
1–0
W
14 Mar
@ Buriram United
0–5
L
8 Mar
@ BG Pathum United
3–2
W
28 Feb
vs Ayutthaya FC
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Chiangrai United
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rayong FC – last 4
LLLD
7 Mar
@ Sukhothai FC
1–2
L
25 Feb
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Prachuap
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Chiangrai United
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chonburi FC and Rayong FC.
What is the prediction for Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC?
Our pick is Chonburi FC or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC?
On our numbers Chonburi FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rayong FC 15%.
How many goals will there be in Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC?
Our predicted score is Chonburi FC 1–0 Rayong FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC?
Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Muangthong United2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0