Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBuriram United to win ✓77% · @1.14
Double chanceBuriram United or draw ✓92% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.37
Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC preview and prediction
The match
Buriram United host Sukhothai FC in the Thai League 1 on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Chang Arena. Buriram United are 5th with 16 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Sukhothai FC sit 11th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.4 for Buriram United and 0.6 for Sukhothai FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buriram United 77%, draw 15%, Sukhothai FC 8%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.58.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Buriram United 2–0 Sukhothai FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buriram United77%fair 1.30 · @1.14
Draw15%fair 6.60 · @7.50
Sukhothai FC8%fair 12.55 · @11.50
3.09Expected goals
2.44Buriram United xG
0.65Sukhothai FC xG
50%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–011%
3–011%
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
From our goals model: Buriram United 2.4 – 0.6 Sukhothai FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buriram United to win✓
77%
1.30
1.14
Double chance
Buriram United or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.58
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.39
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Half-time result
Buriram United ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buriram United / FT Buriram United✓
53%
1.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.37
–
Form
Buriram United – last 2
WW
17 Feb
vs Shanghai Shenhua
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ BG Pathum United
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sukhothai FC – last 1
D
14 Feb
vs Ayutthaya FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buriram United and Sukhothai FC.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Sukhothai FC 8%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 2–0 Sukhothai FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC?
Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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