Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC preview and prediction
The match
Chiangrai United host Chonburi FC in the Thai League 1 on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Leo Chiangrai Stadium. Chiangrai United are 15th with 5 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Chonburi FC sit 13th on 7 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Chiangrai United and 1.2 for Chonburi FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chiangrai United 40%, draw 24%, Chonburi FC 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Chiangrai United 1–1 Chonburi FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chiangrai United40%fair 2.49 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.20
Chonburi FC36%fair 2.77 · @2.90
2.56Expected goals
1.32Chiangrai United xG
1.23Chonburi FC xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Chiangrai United 1.3 – 1.2 Chonburi FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chiangrai United to win✗
40%
2.49
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chiangrai United / FT Chiangrai United✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.75
–
Form
Chiangrai United – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Rayong FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Chonburi FC – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Uthai Thani
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chiangrai United and Chonburi FC.
What is the prediction for Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC?
On our numbers Chiangrai United have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chonburi FC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC?
Our predicted score is Chiangrai United 1–1 Chonburi FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC?
Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Leo Chiangrai Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.