HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction & analysis
70%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.45
7/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultHNK Rijeka to win38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–08% · fair 12.27
HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees HNK Rijeka take on HNK Hajduk Split on Wednesday 4 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Form guide
HNK Rijeka's last 4: WWLW Most recently they beat NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Rijeka.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for HNK Rijeka and 1.5 for HNK Hajduk Split. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 58% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: HNK Rijeka 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Rijeka38%fair 2.62 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.10
HNK Hajduk Split34%fair 2.90 · @3.20
2.77Expected goals
1.30HNK Rijeka xG
1.47HNK Hajduk Split xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 1.3 – 1.5 HNK Hajduk Split expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
Attack vs Cup average
+35%
-0%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.05
1.41
Our own ratings from every Cup result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and HNK Hajduk Split 34%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
NK Varazdin1
HNK Gorica3
Dinamo Zagreb2
Kurilovec0