Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
FC Dallas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: FC Dallas to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Dallas to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceFC Dallas or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Sporting Kansas City take on FC Dallas on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Children's Mercy Park. Sporting Kansas City are 15th with 26 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while FC Dallas sit 2nd on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting Kansas City's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Minnesota United FC 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.
FC Dallas's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Columbus Crew 0–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Dallas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished FC Dallas 4–3 Sporting Kansas City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.3 for Sporting Kansas City and 2.3 for FC Dallas. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Kansas City 20%, draw 20%, FC Dallas 59%.
Safer route: FC Dallas or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.40.
Value angle: FC Dallas to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Dallas or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sporting Kansas City 1–2 FC Dallas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Kansas City20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.75
FC Dallas59%fair 1.68 · @1.80
3.52Expected goals
1.26Sporting Kansas City xG
2.26FC Dallas xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 1.3 – 2.3 FC Dallas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?
Our pick is FC Dallas or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?
On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Dallas 59%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?
Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 1–2 FC Dallas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?
Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Children's Mercy Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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