New York City FC vs CF Montreal prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
New York City FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew York City FC to win ✗66% · @1.40
Double chanceNew York City FC or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.05
New York City FC vs CF Montreal preview and prediction
The match
New York City FC host CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Yankee Stadium. New York City FC are 11th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while CF Montreal sit 15th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
New York City FC's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Atlanta United FC 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
CF Montreal's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Charlotte 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
New York City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for New York City FC and 0.9 for CF Montreal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: New York City FC 66%, draw 18%, CF Montreal 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was New York City FC to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: New York City FC 2–0 CF Montreal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New York City FC66%fair 1.51 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @4.50
CF Montreal15%fair 6.54 · @6.50
3.02Expected goals
2.13New York City FC xG
0.89CF Montreal xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: New York City FC 2.1 – 0.9 CF Montreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York City FC to win✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Double chance
New York City FC or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
New York City FC ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York City FC / FT New York City FC✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.05
–
Form
New York City FC – last 6
WDDLLD
29 Oct
vs Atlanta United FC
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ Orlando City SC
2–2
D
18 Oct
vs Los Angeles FC
1–1
D
15 Oct
@ Inter Miami
0–2
L
10 Oct
@ Chicago Fire
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Atlanta United FC
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
CF Montreal – last 6
LLDDLL
29 Oct
@ Charlotte
0–4
L
24 Oct
vs Nashville SC
0–2
L
22 Oct
vs Forge
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Seattle Sounders
1–1
D
15 Oct
vs Atlanta United FC
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Toronto FC
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York City FC and CF Montreal.
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs CF Montreal?
Our pick is New York City FC to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win New York City FC vs CF Montreal?
On our numbers New York City FC have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and CF Montreal 15%.
How many goals will there be in New York City FC vs CF Montreal?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs CF Montreal?
Our predicted score is New York City FC 2–0 CF Montreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is New York City FC vs CF Montreal?
New York City FC vs CF Montreal (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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