St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
St. Louis City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: St. Louis City to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt. Louis City to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceSt. Louis City or draw ✗81% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers preview and prediction
The match
St. Louis City host Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Citypark. St. Louis City are 3rd with 54 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Portland Timbers sit 7th on 46 points (in the top half).
Form guide
St. Louis City's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Real Salt Lake 0–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portland Timbers's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Charlotte 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 September 2026, finished Portland Timbers 2–2 St. Louis City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for St. Louis City and 1.2 for Portland Timbers. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Louis City 60%, draw 21%, Portland Timbers 19%.
Safer route: St. Louis City or draw (81%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.40.
Value angle: St. Louis City to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was St. Louis City or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: St. Louis City 2–1 Portland Timbers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Louis City60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.70
Portland Timbers19%fair 5.15 · @3.40
3.42Expected goals
2.21St. Louis City xG
1.21Portland Timbers xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: St. Louis City 2.2 – 1.2 Portland Timbers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?
Our pick is St. Louis City or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?
On our numbers St. Louis City have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Portland Timbers 19%.
How many goals will there be in St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?
Our predicted score is St. Louis City 2–1 Portland Timbers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?
St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Citypark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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