Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Nashville SC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNashville SC to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union preview and prediction
The match
Nashville SC host Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Geodis Park. Nashville SC are 1st with 77 points from 34 games (top of the table), while Philadelphia Union sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nashville SC's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat CF Montreal 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Philadelphia Union's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to New England Revolution 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Nashville SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Philadelphia Union 0–0 Nashville SC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Nashville SC and 1.2 for Philadelphia Union. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nashville SC 62%, draw 14%, Philadelphia Union 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nashville SC to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nashville SC 2–1 Philadelphia Union. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nashville SC62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw14%fair 7.19 · @3.60
Philadelphia Union24%fair 4.15 · @3.50
3.24Expected goals
2.08Nashville SC xG
1.16Philadelphia Union xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Nashville SC 2.1 – 1.2 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Nashville SC to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers Nashville SC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Philadelphia Union 24%.
How many goals will there be in Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is Nashville SC 2–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Geodis Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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