Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultToronto FC to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.19
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal preview and prediction
The match
Toronto FC host CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at BMO Field. Toronto FC are 12th with 39 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while CF Montreal sit 15th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Toronto FC's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Nashville SC 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
CF Montreal's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat FC Cincinnati 3–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 July 2026, finished CF Montreal 0–0 Toronto FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Toronto FC and 1.1 for CF Montreal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toronto FC 64%, draw 16%, CF Montreal 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Toronto FC to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toronto FC64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw16%fair 6.10 · @3.60
CF Montreal20%fair 5.06 · @3.50
3.30Expected goals
2.20Toronto FC xG
1.10CF Montreal xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Toronto FC 2.2 – 1.1 CF Montreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
Our pick is Toronto FC to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
On our numbers Toronto FC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 16% and CF Montreal 20%.
How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
Our predicted score is Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
