Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Philadelphia Union to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Kansas City host Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Children's Mercy Park. Sporting Kansas City are 15th with 26 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Philadelphia Union sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting Kansas City's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Los Angeles FC 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Philadelphia Union's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat San Diego 5–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Philadelphia Union arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.0 for Sporting Kansas City and 2.5 for Philadelphia Union. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Kansas City 11%, draw 22%, Philadelphia Union 67%.
Safer route: Philadelphia Union or draw (89%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Philadelphia Union to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Philadelphia Union. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Kansas City11%fair 9.50 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.50
Philadelphia Union67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
3.47Expected goals
0.99Sporting Kansas City xG
2.48Philadelphia Union xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–29%
0–38%
1–38%
0–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 1.0 – 2.5 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Double chance
Philadelphia Union or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Philadelphia Union ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
10.49
–
Form
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
WLLLDL
13 Sep
vs Los Angeles FC
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ FC Dallas
3–4
L
30 Aug
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
24 Aug
@ Atlanta United FC
1–2
L
20 Aug
vs St. Louis City
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Colorado Rapids
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 6
WWWWDD
14 Sep
@ San Diego
5–0
W
10 Sep
vs FC Cincinnati
5–0
W
6 Sep
vs CF Montreal
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
23 Aug
@ Austin
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Inter Miami
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Kansas City and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Philadelphia Union to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Philadelphia Union 67%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?
Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Children's Mercy Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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