San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction & analysis

San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes preview and prediction

The match

San Diego host San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 10 September, with kick-off at 03:30 (WAT) at Snapdragon Stadium. San Diego are 13th with 38 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

San Diego's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Orlando City SC 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

San Jose Earthquakes's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Austin 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

San Diego arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished San Jose Earthquakes 3–0 San Diego.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for San Diego and 1.2 for San Jose Earthquakes. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.

Betting angles

• Win chances: San Diego 62%, draw 16%, San Jose Earthquakes 23%.
• Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.40.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was San Diego to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: San Diego 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.