Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Nashville SC to win @ 2.22 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNashville SC to win ✗50% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Toronto FC take on Nashville SC on Thursday 10 September, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at BMO Field. Toronto FC are 12th with 39 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Nashville SC sit 1st on 77 points (top of the table). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Toronto FC's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Chicago Fire 4–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Nashville SC's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with New York City FC 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Toronto FC and 1.8 for Nashville SC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toronto FC 30%, draw 20%, Nashville SC 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Nashville SC to win at 2.22 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Toronto FC 1–1 Nashville SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toronto FC30%fair 3.36 · @2.86
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.70
Nashville SC50%fair 2.00 · @2.22
3.03Expected goals
1.28Toronto FC xG
1.75Nashville SC xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.3 – 1.8 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nashville SC to win✗
50%
2.00
2.22 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.56
–
Form
Toronto FC – last 6
DDWDWD
6 Sep
vs Chicago Fire
4–4
D
30 Aug
vs New York City FC
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Inter Miami
2–1
W
20 Aug
vs Charlotte
3–3
D
16 Aug
vs New England Revolution
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ New York City FC
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nashville SC – last 6
DWWWWL
5 Sep
@ New York City FC
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs FC Cincinnati
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs Columbus Crew
3–2
W
20 Aug
@ New York Red Bulls
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Inter Miami
4–1
W
13 Aug
@ Monterrey
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toronto FC and Nashville SC.
What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
On our numbers Toronto FC have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nashville SC 50%.
How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Minnesota United FC1
FC Dallas2
Austin1
Colorado Rapids1