Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChicago Fire to win ✗47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire preview and prediction
The match
Chicago Fire travel to BMO Field in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 6 September (00:30 WAT) to face Toronto FC. Toronto FC are 12th with 39 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Chicago Fire sit 4th on 55 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Toronto FC's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with New York City FC 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Chicago Fire's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Seattle Sounders 2–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Chicago Fire 2–1 Toronto FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.4 for Toronto FC and 1.8 for Chicago Fire. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toronto FC 32%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Toronto FC 1–1 Chicago Fire. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toronto FC32%fair 3.08 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
Chicago Fire47%fair 2.14 · @2.20
3.19Expected goals
1.43Toronto FC xG
1.76Chicago Fire xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.4 – 1.8 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?
On our numbers Toronto FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chicago Fire 47%.
How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?
Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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