Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓10% · fair 9.89
Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Philadelphia Union take on CF Montreal on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union are 6th with 50 points from 34 games (in the top half), while CF Montreal sit 15th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Philadelphia Union's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat New York Red Bulls 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
CF Montreal's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Philadelphia Union arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Philadelphia Union and 0.9 for CF Montreal. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Philadelphia Union 70%, draw 17%, CF Montreal 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Philadelphia Union to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.45, above our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Philadelphia Union 2–0 CF Montreal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Philadelphia Union70%fair 1.42 · @1.45
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @5.00
CF Montreal13%fair 7.67 · @6.50
3.37Expected goals
2.43Philadelphia Union xG
0.94CF Montreal xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 2.4 – 0.9 CF Montreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✓
70%
1.42
1.45
Double chance
Philadelphia Union or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Half-time result
Philadelphia Union ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
10%
9.89
–
Form
Philadelphia Union – last 6
WDDWLW
30 Aug
@ New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
23 Aug
@ Austin
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Inter Miami
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ New York City FC
3–2
W
14 Aug
vs Santos Laguna
0–2
L
10 Aug
vs Necaxa
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
CF Montreal – last 6
DLDWDD
3 Sep
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Inter Miami
1–7
L
23 Aug
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
2–2
D
20 Aug
@ Columbus Crew
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs DC United
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs New England Revolution
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Philadelphia Union and CF Montreal.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?
Our pick is Philadelphia Union to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?
On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and CF Montreal 13%.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?
Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 2–0 CF Montreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?
Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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