St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
St. Louis City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt. Louis City to win ✓66% · @1.43
Double chanceSt. Louis City or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City preview and prediction
The match
St. Louis City host Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer on Friday 17 July, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Energizer Park. St. Louis City are 3rd with 54 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Sporting Kansas City sit 15th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
St. Louis City's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with DC United 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sporting Kansas City's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to New York Red Bulls 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
St. Louis City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for St. Louis City and 0.9 for Sporting Kansas City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Louis City 66%, draw 23%, Sporting Kansas City 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was St. Louis City to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: St. Louis City 2–0 Sporting Kansas City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Louis City66%fair 1.52 · @1.43
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @4.85
Sporting Kansas City11%fair 8.83 · @6.20
3.27Expected goals
2.33St. Louis City xG
0.95Sporting Kansas City xG
60%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: St. Louis City 2.3 – 0.9 Sporting Kansas City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Louis City to win✓
66%
1.52
1.43
Double chance
St. Louis City or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.80
Half-time result
St. Louis City ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Louis City / FT St. Louis City✓
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
St. Louis City – last 6
DWWWLL
17 May
@ DC United
1–1
D
14 May
vs Los Angeles FC
2–1
W
10 May
@ Colorado Rapids
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs San Jose Earthquakes
2–3
L
19 Apr
@ Seattle Sounders
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
LWWLLL
24 May
vs New York Red Bulls
1–2
L
17 May
@ Austin
2–1
W
14 May
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
3–1
W
10 May
@ Portland Timbers
0–6
L
26 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–5
L
18 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Louis City and Sporting Kansas City.
What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our pick is St. Louis City to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City?
On our numbers St. Louis City have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting Kansas City 11%.
How many goals will there be in St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our predicted score is St. Louis City 2–0 Sporting Kansas City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City?
St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Energizer Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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