Value bet: Seattle Sounders to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLos Angeles FC to win ✓45% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓9% · fair 10.84
Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders preview and prediction
The match
Los Angeles FC host Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer on Monday 25 May, with kick-off at 02:15 (WAT) at BMO Stadium. Los Angeles FC are 6th with 47 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Seattle Sounders sit 8th on 46 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Los Angeles FC's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Nashville SC 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Seattle Sounders's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Los Angeles Galaxy 0–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Seattle Sounders arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Los Angeles FC and 1.3 for Seattle Sounders. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Los Angeles FC 45%, draw 20%, Seattle Sounders 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Seattle Sounders to win at 3.40 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Los Angeles FC 1–1 Seattle Sounders. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Los Angeles FC45%fair 2.21 · @1.97
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.70
Seattle Sounders35%fair 2.89 · @3.40
2.80Expected goals
1.52Los Angeles FC xG
1.28Seattle Sounders xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Los Angeles FC 1.5 – 1.3 Seattle Sounders expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Los Angeles FC to win✓
45%
2.21
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Los Angeles FC / FT Los Angeles FC✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
9%
10.84
–
Form
Los Angeles FC – last 6
LLLLWD
18 May
@ Nashville SC
2–3
L
14 May
@ St. Louis City
1–2
L
11 May
vs Houston Dynamo
1–4
L
7 May
@ Toluca
0–4
L
30 Apr
vs Toluca
2–1
W
23 Apr
vs Colorado Rapids
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Seattle Sounders – last 6
LWDWWW
17 May
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
0–2
L
14 May
vs San Jose Earthquakes
3–2
W
10 May
vs San Diego
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs FC Dallas
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs St. Louis City
4–1
W
16 Apr
vs Tigres UANL
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Los Angeles FC and Seattle Sounders.
What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders?
On our numbers Los Angeles FC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Seattle Sounders 35%.
How many goals will there be in Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders?
Our predicted score is Los Angeles FC 1–1 Seattle Sounders, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders?
Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at BMO Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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