Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union preview and prediction
The match
Philadelphia Union travel to Nu Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Monday 25 May (00:00 WAT) to face Inter Miami. Inter Miami are 2nd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Philadelphia Union sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Inter Miami's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Portland Timbers 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Philadelphia Union's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Columbus Crew 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Inter Miami arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for Inter Miami and 1.0 for Philadelphia Union. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Inter Miami 69%, draw 18%, Philadelphia Union 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Inter Miami to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.39. Predicted score: Inter Miami 2–0 Philadelphia Union. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inter Miami69%fair 1.45 · @1.39
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @5.10
Philadelphia Union13%fair 7.75 · @6.50
3.46Expected goals
2.46Inter Miami xG
1.00Philadelphia Union xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–18%
From our goals model: Inter Miami 2.5 – 1.0 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter Miami to win✓
69%
1.45
1.39
Double chance
Inter Miami or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.83
Half-time result
Inter Miami ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter Miami / FT Inter Miami✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.50
–
Form
Inter Miami – last 6
WWLDWD
17 May
vs Portland Timbers
2–0
W
14 May
@ FC Cincinnati
5–3
W
3 May
vs Orlando City SC
3–4
L
26 Apr
vs New England Revolution
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Real Salt Lake
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs New York Red Bulls
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 6
DLLDLD
17 May
vs Columbus Crew
1–1
D
14 May
@ Orlando City SC
3–4
L
10 May
@ New England Revolution
1–2
L
3 May
vs Nashville SC
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Columbus Crew
0–2
L
23 Apr
@ Toronto FC
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Inter Miami to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers Inter Miami have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Philadelphia Union 13%.
How many goals will there be in Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is Inter Miami 2–0 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union?
Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Nu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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