Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Kansas City travel to Soldier Field in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 26 April (01:30 WAT) to face Chicago Fire. Chicago Fire are 4th with 55 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Sporting Kansas City sit 15th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chicago Fire's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with FC Cincinnati 3–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sporting Kansas City's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Vancouver Whitecaps 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Chicago Fire arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.4 for Chicago Fire and 0.9 for Sporting Kansas City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chicago Fire 71%, draw 18%, Sporting Kansas City 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chicago Fire to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Chicago Fire 2–0 Sporting Kansas City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chicago Fire71%fair 1.41 · @1.27
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @5.90
Sporting Kansas City11%fair 9.25 · @8.90
3.31Expected goals
2.43Chicago Fire xG
0.88Sporting Kansas City xG
59%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–19%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Chicago Fire 2.4 – 0.9 Sporting Kansas City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chicago Fire to win✓
71%
1.41
1.27
Double chance
Chicago Fire or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.95
Half-time result
Chicago Fire ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire✗
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.28
–
Form
Chicago Fire – last 6
DWWWLD
19 Apr
@ FC Cincinnati
3–3
D
15 Apr
@ Detroit City
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Atlanta United FC
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Nashville SC
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Orlando City II
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Columbus Crew
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
LLLLWL
18 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
15 Apr
@ Colorado Springs
0–3
L
12 Apr
vs San Jose Earthquakes
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Colorado Rapids
1–4
L
15 Mar
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs San Diego
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chicago Fire and Sporting Kansas City.
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our pick is Chicago Fire to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sporting Kansas City 11%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 2–0 Sporting Kansas City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.