New York City FC vs Charlotte prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
New York City FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: New York City FC to win @ 1.84 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew York City FC to win ✗65% · @1.84
Double chanceNew York City FC or draw ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.09
New York City FC vs Charlotte preview and prediction
The match
Charlotte travel to Yankee Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 19 April (00:30 WAT) to face New York City FC. New York City FC are 11th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Charlotte sit 5th on 54 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
New York City FC's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Westchester SC 5–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Charlotte's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Charlotte Independence 6–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Charlotte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for New York City FC and 0.9 for Charlotte. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: New York City FC 65%, draw 20%, Charlotte 15%.
Safer route: New York City FC or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: New York City FC to win at 1.84 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was New York City FC or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: New York City FC 2–0 Charlotte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New York City FC65%fair 1.53 · @1.84
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.65
Charlotte15%fair 6.59 · @3.95
3.00Expected goals
2.10New York City FC xG
0.90Charlotte xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: New York City FC 2.1 – 0.9 Charlotte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York City FC to win✗
65%
1.53
1.84 ▲
Double chance
New York City FC or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Half-time result
New York City FC ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York City FC / FT New York City FC✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.09
–
Form
New York City FC – last 5
WLDWD
15 Apr
@ Westchester SC
5–2
W
12 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–2
L
5 Apr
vs St. Louis City
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Colorado Rapids
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Charlotte – last 6
WLWWDW
16 Apr
vs Charlotte Independence
6–0
W
12 Apr
vs Nashville SC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs New York Red Bulls
6–1
W
15 Mar
vs Inter Miami
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Austin
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York City FC and Charlotte.
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs Charlotte?
Our pick is New York City FC or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win New York City FC vs Charlotte?
On our numbers New York City FC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Charlotte 15%.
How many goals will there be in New York City FC vs Charlotte?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs Charlotte?
Our predicted score is New York City FC 2–0 Charlotte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is New York City FC vs Charlotte?
New York City FC vs Charlotte (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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