Philadelphia Union vs DC United prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Philadelphia Union or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Philadelphia Union to win @ 1.81 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗60% · @1.81
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.80
Philadelphia Union vs DC United preview and prediction
The match
Philadelphia Union host DC United in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union are 6th with 50 points from 34 games (in the top half), while DC United sit 14th on 33 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Philadelphia Union's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Charlotte 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
DC United's last 4: LLDW Most recently they lost to New England Revolution 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished DC United 1–0 Philadelphia Union.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Philadelphia Union and 0.8 for DC United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Philadelphia Union 60%, draw 22%, DC United 18%.
Safer route: Philadelphia Union or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Philadelphia Union to win at 1.81 – 60% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Philadelphia Union or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Philadelphia Union 1–0 DC United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Philadelphia Union60%fair 1.67 · @1.81
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.60
DC United18%fair 5.63 · @4.20
2.43Expected goals
1.67Philadelphia Union xG
0.76DC United xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 1.7 – 0.8 DC United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
Our pick is Philadelphia Union or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and DC United 18%.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 1–0 DC United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
Philadelphia Union vs DC United (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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