Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire prediction & analysis
72%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.38
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
2
Value bet: Chicago Fire to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win41% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.94
Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Philadelphia Union take on Chicago Fire on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union are 6th with 50 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Chicago Fire sit 4th on 55 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Philadelphia Union's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Club America 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Chicago Fire's last 4: LDDL Most recently they lost to Orlando City II 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Philadelphia Union arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Philadelphia Union and 1.2 for Chicago Fire. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Philadelphia Union 41%, draw 24%, Chicago Fire 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Chicago Fire to win at 3.05 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Philadelphia Union 1–1 Chicago Fire. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Philadelphia Union41%fair 2.46 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Chicago Fire35%fair 2.82 · @3.05
2.52Expected goals
1.31Philadelphia Union xG
1.20Chicago Fire xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 1.3 – 1.2 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win
41%
2.46
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.94
–
Form
Philadelphia Union – last 6
DLLWLW
19 Mar
@ Club America
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Club America
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Defence Force
7–0
W
22 Feb
@ DC United
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Defence Force
5–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chicago Fire – last 4
LDDL
9 Mar
@ Orlando City II
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Columbus Crew
0–0
D
28 Feb
@ Inter Miami II
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Houston Dynamo
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chicago Fire 35%.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 1–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
