Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew preview and prediction
The match
Columbus Crew travel to BMO Field in the Major League Soccer on Saturday 21 March (18:00 WAT) to face Toronto FC. Toronto FC are 12th with 39 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Columbus Crew sit 7th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Toronto FC's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat FC Cincinnati 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Columbus Crew's last 4: LDDL Most recently they lost to Nashville SC 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Toronto FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Toronto FC and 1.5 for Columbus Crew. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toronto FC 35%, draw 23%, Columbus Crew 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Toronto FC 1–1 Columbus Crew. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toronto FC35%fair 2.86 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
Columbus Crew42%fair 2.36 · @2.50
2.76Expected goals
1.30Toronto FC xG
1.46Columbus Crew xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.3 – 1.5 Columbus Crew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Columbus Crew to win
42%
2.36
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Columbus Crew / FT Columbus Crew
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.39
–
Form
Toronto FC – last 4
WLLW
9 Mar
@ FC Cincinnati
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ FC Dallas
2–3
L
14 Feb
vs Polessya
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Columbus Crew – last 4
LDDL
14 Mar
vs Nashville SC
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Chicago Fire
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Sporting Kansas City
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Portland Timbers
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toronto FC and Columbus Crew.
What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
On our numbers Toronto FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Columbus Crew 42%.
How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 Columbus Crew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
