Value bet: FC Cincinnati to win @ 2.50 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Cincinnati to win ✗46% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.64
New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati preview and prediction
The match
New England Revolution host FC Cincinnati in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Gillette Stadium. New England Revolution are 3rd with 58 points from 34 games (in the top four), while FC Cincinnati sit 9th on 46 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Cincinnati's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Tigres UANL 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for New England Revolution and 1.1 for FC Cincinnati. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New England Revolution 34%, draw 21%, FC Cincinnati 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.60.
Value angle: FC Cincinnati to win at 2.50 – 46% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: New England Revolution 1–1 FC Cincinnati. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New England Revolution34%fair 2.96 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
FC Cincinnati46%fair 2.20 · @2.50
2.00Expected goals
0.89New England Revolution xG
1.11FC Cincinnati xG
57%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: New England Revolution 0.9 – 1.1 FC Cincinnati expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Cincinnati to win✗
46%
2.20
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Cincinnati / FT FC Cincinnati✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.64
–
Form
New England Revolution – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Nashville SC
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Cincinnati – last 5
WLWLW
13 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
3–0
W
9 Mar
vs Toronto FC
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Universidad O&M
9–0
W
22 Feb
vs Louisville City
0–4
L
19 Feb
@ Universidad O&M
4–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati.
What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
On our numbers New England Revolution have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Cincinnati 46%.
How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 FC Cincinnati, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Colorado Rapids1
FC Dallas3
San Diego3
Houston Dynamo3
Portland Timbers2
Los Angeles Galaxy1
Sporting Kansas City2
Real Salt Lake2
Austin1
Los Angeles FC2
St. Louis City0