Value bet: San Diego to win @ 2.45 – our chance 48% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Diego to win ✗48% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.64
FC Dallas vs San Diego preview and prediction
The match
FC Dallas host San Diego in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Toyota Stadium. FC Dallas are 2nd with 58 points from 34 games (in the top four), while San Diego sit 13th on 38 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Dallas's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Los Angeles FC 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
San Diego's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Toluca 3–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Diego arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for FC Dallas and 1.3 for San Diego. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Dallas 31%, draw 21%, San Diego 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.53.
Value angle: San Diego to win at 2.45 – 48% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: FC Dallas 1–1 San Diego. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Dallas31%fair 3.25 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.40
San Diego48%fair 2.07 · @2.45
2.33Expected goals
0.99FC Dallas xG
1.34San Diego xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: FC Dallas 1.0 – 1.3 San Diego expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Diego to win✗
48%
2.07
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Diego / FT San Diego✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.64
–
Form
FC Dallas – last 3
LDW
8 Mar
@ Los Angeles FC
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Nashville SC
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Toronto FC
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Diego – last 4
WWWW
12 Mar
vs Toluca
3–2
W
8 Mar
@ Sporting Kansas City
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs St. Louis City
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs CF Montreal
5–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Dallas and San Diego.
What is the prediction for FC Dallas vs San Diego?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win FC Dallas vs San Diego?
On our numbers FC Dallas have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and San Diego 48%.
How many goals will there be in FC Dallas vs San Diego?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Dallas vs San Diego?
Our predicted score is FC Dallas 1–1 San Diego, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is FC Dallas vs San Diego?
FC Dallas vs San Diego (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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