Value bet: South Korea to win @ 1.63 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouth Korea to win ✗65% · @1.63
Double chanceSouth Korea or draw ✗89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.68
South Africa vs South Korea preview and prediction
The match
South Africa host South Korea in the World Cup on Thursday 25 June, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio BBVA.
Form guide
South Africa's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Czechia 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
South Korea's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Mexico 0–1 away. They average 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
South Korea arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for South Africa and 1.7 for South Korea. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Africa 11%, draw 24%, South Korea 65%.
Safer route: South Korea or draw (89%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Value angle: South Korea to win at 1.63 – 65% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: South Africa 0–1 South Korea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Africa11%fair 9.49 · @5.20
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.75
South Korea65%fair 1.54 · @1.63
2.28Expected goals
0.56South Africa xG
1.73South Korea xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–010%
1–110%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: South Africa 0.6 – 1.7 South Korea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Korea to win✗
65%
1.54
1.63 ▲
Double chance
South Korea or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Half-time result
South Korea ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Korea / FT South Korea✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.68
–
Form
South Africa – last 5
DLDLD
18 Jun
@ Czechia
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Mexico
0–2
L
29 May
vs Nicaragua
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Panama
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Panama
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
South Korea – last 5
LWWWL
19 Jun
@ Mexico
0–1
L
12 Jun
vs Czech Republic
2–1
W
4 Jun
vs El Salvador
1–0
W
31 May
vs Trinidad and Tobago
5–0
W
31 Mar
@ Austria
0–1
L
1.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Africa and South Korea.
What is the prediction for South Africa vs South Korea?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win South Africa vs South Korea?
On our numbers South Africa have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 24% and South Korea 65%.
How many goals will there be in South Africa vs South Korea?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Africa vs South Korea?
Our predicted score is South Africa 0–1 South Korea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is South Africa vs South Korea?
South Africa vs South Korea (World Cup) kicks off on Thursday 25 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Czechia0
Mexico3
Curaçao0
Ivory Coast2
Ecuador2
Germany1