Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEgypt to win ✓58% · @1.60
Double chanceEgypt or draw ✓81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.20
New Zealand vs Egypt preview and prediction
The match
New Zealand host Egypt in the World Cup on Monday 22 June, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at BC Place.
Form guide
New Zealand's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Iran 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Egypt's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Belgium 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Egypt arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for New Zealand and 1.8 for Egypt. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: New Zealand 19%, draw 22%, Egypt 58%.
Safer route: Egypt or draw (81%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 58% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: New Zealand 1–1 Egypt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New Zealand19%fair 5.14 · @5.50
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.80
Egypt58%fair 1.72 · @1.60
2.78Expected goals
1.02New Zealand xG
1.76Egypt xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: New Zealand 1.0 – 1.8 Egypt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Egypt to win✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Double chance
Egypt or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Egypt / FT Egypt✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
New Zealand – last 5
DLLWL
16 Jun
@ Iran
2–2
D
6 Jun
@ England
0–1
L
3 Jun
@ Haiti
0–4
L
30 Mar
vs Chile
4–1
W
27 Mar
vs Finland
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Egypt – last 5
DLWDW
15 Jun
@ Belgium
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Brazil
1–2
L
28 May
vs Russia
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ Spain
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Saudi Arabia
4–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Zealand and Egypt.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win New Zealand vs Egypt?
On our numbers New Zealand have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Egypt 58%.
How many goals will there be in New Zealand vs Egypt?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Zealand vs Egypt?
Our predicted score is New Zealand 1–1 Egypt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is New Zealand vs Egypt?
New Zealand vs Egypt (World Cup) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at BC Place.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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