Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.90 – our chance 52% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +51%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGermany to win ✓81% · @1.03
Double chanceGermany or draw ✓93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.90
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Germany vs Curaçao preview and prediction
The match
Germany host Curaçao in the World Cup on Sunday 14 June, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at NRG Stadium.
Form guide
Germany's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat USA 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Curaçao's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Aruba 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Germany arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 3.3 for Germany and 1.0 for Curaçao. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Germany 81%, draw 12%, Curaçao 7%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.90.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.90 – 52% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Germany 3–1 Curaçao. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Germany81%fair 1.23 · @1.03
Draw12%fair 8.31 · @17.00
Curaçao7%fair 14.93 · @32.00
4.29Expected goals
3.32Germany xG
0.97Curaçao xG
52%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–08%
3–18%
2–08%
2–17%
4–07%
4–17%
From our goals model: Germany 3.3 – 1.0 Curaçao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Germany to win✓
81%
1.23
1.03
Double chance
Germany or draw✓
93%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Half-time result
Germany ahead at half-time✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Germany / FT Germany✓
59%
1.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
11.97
–
Form
Germany – last 4
WWWW
6 Jun
@ USA
2–1
W
31 May
vs Finland
4–0
W
30 Mar
vs Ghana
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Switzerland
4–3
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Curaçao – last 4
WLLL
7 Jun
vs Aruba
4–0
W
30 May
@ Scotland
1–4
L
31 Mar
@ Australia
1–5
L
27 Mar
@ China
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Germany and Curaçao.
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Germany vs Curaçao?
On our numbers Germany have a 81% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Curaçao 7%.
How many goals will there be in Germany vs Curaçao?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Germany vs Curaçao?
Our predicted score is Germany 3–1 Curaçao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Germany vs Curaçao?
Germany vs Curaçao (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at NRG Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Haiti0
Scotland1
Australia2
Türkiye0
Netherlands2
Japan2