Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrazil to win ✗62% · @1.69
Double chanceBrazil or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.70
Brazil vs Morocco preview and prediction
The match
Brazil host Morocco in the World Cup on Saturday 13 June, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at MetLife Stadium.
Form guide
Brazil's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Egypt 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Morocco's last 4: DWWD Most recently they drew with Norway 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Brazil and 0.7 for Morocco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brazil 62%, draw 23%, Morocco 14%.
Safer route: Brazil or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Brazil 1–0 Morocco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brazil62%fair 1.61 · @1.69
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.65
Morocco14%fair 6.97 · @5.20
2.47Expected goals
1.76Brazil xG
0.71Morocco xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Brazil 1.8 – 0.7 Morocco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brazil to win✗
62%
1.61
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Brazil or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Brazil ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brazil / FT Brazil✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.70
–
Form
Brazil – last 4
WWWL
6 Jun
vs Egypt
2–1
W
31 May
vs Panama
6–2
W
1 Apr
vs Croatia
3–1
W
26 Mar
vs France
1–2
L
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Morocco – last 4
DWWD
7 Jun
vs Norway
1–1
D
2 Jun
vs Madagascar
4–0
W
31 Mar
vs Paraguay
2–1
W
27 Mar
vs Ecuador
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brazil and Morocco.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Brazil vs Morocco?
On our numbers Brazil have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Morocco 14%.
How many goals will there be in Brazil vs Morocco?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Morocco?
Our predicted score is Brazil 1–0 Morocco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Brazil vs Morocco?
Brazil vs Morocco (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at MetLife Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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