Value bet: Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 2.06 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Recoleta to win ✗55% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.45
Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Recoleta host Club Sp. San Lorenzo in the Division Profesional Clausura on Saturday 25 July, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ricardo Gregor. Deportivo Recoleta are 11th with 16 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Club Sp. San Lorenzo sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Deportivo Recoleta's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat San Lorenzo 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat 2 de Mayo 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Deportivo Recoleta 4–2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Deportivo Recoleta and 0.9 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Recoleta 55%, draw 22%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Deportivo Recoleta to win at 2.06 – 55% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportivo Recoleta 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Recoleta55%fair 1.81 · @2.06
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Club Sp. San Lorenzo23%fair 4.39 · @3.35
2.47Expected goals
1.58Deportivo Recoleta xG
0.89Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Recoleta 1.6 – 0.9 Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Deportivo Recoleta have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 23%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Recoleta 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ricardo Gregor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
