Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Olimpia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Olimpia to win @ 1.94 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlimpia to win ✗64% · @1.94
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.12
Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
Libertad Asuncion travel to Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb in the Division Profesional Clausura on Sunday 26 July (20:00 WAT) to face Olimpia. Olimpia are 1st with 42 points from 19 games (top of the table), while Libertad Asuncion sit 3rd on 33 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Olimpia's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Flamengo 2–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to UCV 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Olimpia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Libertad Asuncion 3–2 Olimpia. Across their last 2 meetings Olimpia have won 1, Libertad Asuncion 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Olimpia and 0.8 for Libertad Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Olimpia to win at 1.94 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Olimpia or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Olimpia 1–0 Libertad Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olimpia64%fair 1.57 · @1.94
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.40
Libertad Asuncion15%fair 6.54 · @3.60
2.76Expected goals
1.94Olimpia xG
0.82Libertad Asuncion xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Olimpia 1.9 – 0.8 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Olimpia or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Olimpia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Libertad Asuncion 15%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Olimpia 1–0 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion?
Olimpia vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
