Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Club Guarani or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Club Guarani to win @ 1.94 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Guarani to win ✗63% · @1.94
Double chanceClub Guarani or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.54
Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno preview and prediction
The match
Sportivo Luqueno travel to Estadio Rogelio Livieres in the Division Profesional Clausura on Sunday 26 July (22:30 WAT) to face Club Guarani. Club Guarani are 5th with 31 points from 19 games (in the top half), while Sportivo Luqueno sit 8th on 22 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Club Guarani's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Cerro Porteno 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Luqueno's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Club Guarani arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 February 2026, finished Sportivo Luqueno 3–2 Club Guarani.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Club Guarani and 0.7 for Sportivo Luqueno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Guarani 63%, draw 21%, Sportivo Luqueno 16%.
Safer route: Club Guarani or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Club Guarani to win at 1.94 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Club Guarani or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Club Guarani 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Guarani63%fair 1.60 · @1.94
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.25
Sportivo Luqueno16%fair 6.20 · @3.75
2.42Expected goals
1.71Club Guarani xG
0.71Sportivo Luqueno xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Club Guarani 1.7 – 0.7 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our pick is Club Guarani or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno?
On our numbers Club Guarani have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sportivo Luqueno 16%.
How many goals will there be in Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our predicted score is Club Guarani 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rogelio Livieres.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
